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WTIN20 DEMS 190750

                         TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 19.02.2025

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF

BENGAL

AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR THE NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC

OF

19.02.2025 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 19.02.2025.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER

SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL & SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND WEAK TO MODERATE

CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHEAST

BAY OF BENGAL & NORTH ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:

24        24-48    48-72    72-96    96-120    120-144   144-168

HOURS     HOURS     HOURS    HOURS    HOURS     HOURS    HOURS

NIL        NIL       NIL      NIL      NIL       NIL     NIL





NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY

ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER

COMORIN AREA AND WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER THE NORTH

ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



24        24-48    48-72    72-96    96-120    120-144   144-168

HOURS     HOURS     HOURS    HOURS    HOURS     HOURS    HOURS

NIL        NIL       NIL      NIL      NIL       NIL     NIL





NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY

REMARKS: NIL=