####018002351#### WTIN20 DEMS 120600 REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW DELHI TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 12.03.2025 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR THE NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 12.03.2025 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 12.03.2025. BAY OF BENGAL: Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded moderate to intense convection lay over southwest Bay of Bengal off Tamil Nadu Coast, Palk Strait and Gulf of Mannar. Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded isolated weak to moderate convection lay over southeast Bay of Bengal & Andaman Sea. Yesterday’s upper air Cyclonic Circulation over Equatorial Indian Ocean & adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal at 1.5 km above mean sea level became less marked at 0300 UTC of today the 11th March, 2025. Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded intense to very intense convection lay over southwest Bay of Bengal. Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded moderate to intense convection lay over southeast Bay of Bengal, central Bay of Bengal and south Andaman Sea. *PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24HOURS24-48HOURS48-72HOURS72-96HOURS96-120HOURS120-144HOURS144-168HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL *NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY   ARABIAN SEA: Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded intense to very intense convection lay over southeast Arabian Sea, Lakshadweep Islands Area, Maldives and Comorin Area. Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded isolated weak to moderate convection lay over north Arabian Sea & south parts of eastcentral Arabian Sea. Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded moderate to intense convection lay over Lakshadweep islands, Comorin area and Maldives area. *PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS 120-144 HOURS 144-168 HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL  *NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY   REMARKS: NIL ####018002249#### WTIN20 DEMS 120600 REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW DELHI TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 12.03.2025 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR THENEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 12.03.2025 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 12.03.2025. BAY OF BENGAL: Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded moderate to intense convection lay over southwest Bay of Bengal off Tamil Nadu Coast, Palk Strait and Gulf of Mannar. Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded isolated weak to moderate convection lay over southeast Bay of Bengal & Andaman Sea. Yesterdays upper air Cyclonic Circulation over Equatorial Indian Ocean & adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal at 1.5 km above mean sea level became less marked at 0300 UTC of today the 11th March, 2025. Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded intense to very intense convection lay over southwest Bay of Bengal. Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded moderate to intense convection lay over southeast Bay of Bengal, central Bay of Bengal and south Andaman Sea. *PROBABILITYOFCYCLOGENESIS(FORMATIONOFDEPRESSION)DURINGNEXT168HRS: 24HOURS24-48HOURS48-72HOURS72-96HOURS96-120HOURS120-144HOURS144-168HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL *NOTE: EVERY24HRFORECASTISVALIDUPTO0300UTC(0830IST)OFNEXTDAY ARABIANSEA: Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded intense to very intense convection lay over southeast Arabian Sea, Lakshadweep Islands Area, Maldives and Comorin Area. Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded isolated weak to moderate convection lay over north Arabian Sea & south parts of eastcentral Arabian Sea. Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded moderate to intense convection lay over Lakshadweep islands, Comorin area and Maldives area. *PROBABILITYOFCYCLOGENESIS(FORMATIONOFDEPRESSION)DURINGNEXT168HRS: 24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS 120-144 HOURS 144-168 HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL *NOTE:EVERY24HRFORECASTISVALIDUPTO0300UTC(0830IST)OFNEXTDAY REMARKS: NIL