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WTIN20 DEMS 130600

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 13.03.2025

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF

BENGAL

AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR THE NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC

OF

13.03.2025 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 13.03.2025.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH

ANDAMAN SEA AND MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY

OF BENGAL & NORTH

ANDAMAN SEA.

*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT

168 HRS:



24      24-48    48-72   72-96    96-120    120-144    144-168

HOURS   HOURS    HOURS   HOURS     HOURS      HOURS     HOURS

NIL      NIL       NIL    NIL       NIL        NIL       NIL





*NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

YESTERDAY\U2019S CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER WEST EQUATORIAL INDIAN

OCEAN & ADJOINING MALDIVES AREA

EXTENDING UPTO 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL LAY OVER THE SAME REGION

AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE

13

TH MARCH, 2025.

YESTERDAY\U2019S CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER COMORIN AREA AT 5.8 KM

ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL BECAME LESS

MARKED AT 0000 UTC OF TODAY, THE 13



TH MARCH, 2025.



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER

EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA OFF KARNATAKA KERALA COASTS AND SOUTHWEST &

ADJOINING SOUTHEAST ARABIAN

SEA AND LAKSHADWEEP ISLANDS AREA.

*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT

168 HRS:



24      24-48    48-72   72-96    96-120    120-144    144-168

HOURS   HOURS    HOURS   HOURS     HOURS      HOURS     HOURS

NIL      NIL       NIL    NIL       NIL        NIL       NIL





*NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY

REMARKS: NIL=