####018001705####
WTIN20 DEMS 170626

REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW

DELHI



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELH IDATED 17.03.2025

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF

BENGAL

AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR THE NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC

OF

17.03.2025 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 17.03.2025.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH

BAY OF BENGAL SOUTH OF LATITUDE 9.00N AND ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH

ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:

24      24-48    48-72   72-96    96-120    120-144    144-168

HOURS   HOURS    HOURS   HOURS     HOURS      HOURS     HOURS

NIL      NIL       NIL    NIL       NIL        NIL       NIL





NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY



ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER

LAKSHADWEEP ISLAND AREA, SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF KERALA COAST,

SOUTHWEST ADJOINING SOUTHEAST

ARABIAN SEA & EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM

CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK

TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA, COMORIN AREA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



24      24-48    48-72   72-96    96-120    120-144    144-168

HOURS   HOURS    HOURS   HOURS     HOURS      HOURS     HOURS

NIL      NIL       NIL    NIL       NIL        NIL       NIL





NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY

REMARKS: NIL=