####018001678####
WTIN20 DEMS 140706



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 14.04.2025



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR THE NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

14.04.2025 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 14.04.2025.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION

LAY OVER NORTHWEST & WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL, SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND ANDAMAN SEA.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION

LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL.



*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:



24       24-48    48-72    72-96   96-120   120-144   144-168  

HOURS    HOURS     HOURS    HOURS   HOURS     HOURS    HOURS  

NIL        NIL        NIL     NIL    NIL       NIL      NIL  







*NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION

LAY OVER COMORIN AREA & MALDIVES AREA.

A FRESH UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LAY OVER GULF OF MANNAR & NEIGHBOURHOOD AND

EXTENDS BETWEEN 1.5 KM & 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 14TH

APRIL, 2025.

*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:



24       24-48    48-72    72-96   96-120   120-144   144-168  

HOURS    HOURS     HOURS    HOURS   HOURS     HOURS    HOURS  

NIL        NIL        NIL     NIL    NIL       NIL      NIL  





*NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY



REMARKS: NIL