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ABIO10 PGTW 230100

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN

REISSUED/230100Z-231800ZAPR2025//

RMKS/

1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):

   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.

   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.

   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):

   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE

   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:

      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS 31P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.3S

129.4E, APPROXIMATELY 268 NM NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED

MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS BURSTING CONVECTION IN THE

NORTHERN PERIPHERY DISPLACED EAST OF A DISORGANIZED LLCC. THE REMNANT

VORTEX IS TILTED EASTWARD WITH HEIGHT DUE TO MID-LEVEL SHEAR. A 222054Z

SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWED SCATTERED AND HIGHLY DISORGANIZED

CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS

THROUGHOUT THE AREA WITH LOW TO MODERATE VWS (10-15KTS), WARM SEA

SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30C), AND MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT, BUT ALSO A

LACK OF STRONG VERTICAL INSTABILITY, WHICH HAS PERIODICALLY DISRUPTED

CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. GLOBAL MODELS ARE CURRENTLY IN FAIR AGREEMENT ON

SLIGHT POTENTIAL FOR REGENERATION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA

LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE

DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS

IS LOW.

      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.

   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REMOVED 31P (THIRTYONE) INFORMATION DUE TO

FINAL WARNING EXPIRATION. ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1).//

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