####018005409#### AXPZ20 KNHC 071005 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1005 UTC Wed May 07 2025 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0945 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from northwest Colombia to 12N92W to 09N105W to 09N110W to 08N120W to 06N130W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 05N140W. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is seen within 180 nm south of the trough between 106W-111W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 120 nm south of the trough between 100W-105W and within 120 nm either side of the trough between 111W-116W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm north of the trough between 119W-120, and within 30 nm south of the trough between 116W-120W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Weakening high pressure remains well to the NW of the Baja California waters, and extends a broad ridge southeastward to south of the Revillagigedo Islands near 18N105W. A broad surface trough is across the waters of southern California, Baja Norte, and the northern Gulf of California. An overnight scatterometer satellite pass showed a swath of moderate to fresh NW winds along and just offshore the southwestern tip of the Baja Peninsula. Gentle to moderate NW to N winds continue from there southeastward to the offshore waters from Cabo Corrientes to central Michoacan. Seas across this area are 6 to 8 ft in NW swell. Elsewhere across the Baja offshore waters, light to gentle NW winds prevail as noted in the latest scatterometer satellite data passes. Seas are 6 to 9 ft in subsiding NW swell. Across the Gulf of California, gentle to moderate SE to S winds are over the northern Gulf, while light and variable wind are over the central part of the Gulf and gentle NW to N winds are over the southern section. Seas in the Gulf are 3 ft or less except for higher seas of 3 to 5 ft in SE swell are in the far southern part and in the entrance. Elsewhere across the remaining Mexican waters to Tehuantepec, winds are light to gentle along with seas of 5 to 7 ft in SW swell. For the forecast, a broad ridge extending southeastward to near 18N105W from well NW of the area will change little through early Fri before high pressure builds modestly across the Baja California waters over the upcoming weekend. NW swell moving through the offshore waters will subside through early this afternoon. Looking ahead, a late season northerly gale event is possible across Tehuantepec Sat night and Sun night. Strong gap N gap winds are expected to begin across Tehuantepec Sat morning. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... The weather remains unsettled across the waters east of about 120W. Latest satellite imagery shows increased clusters of scattered to numerous moderate to strong thunderstorms roughly from 06N to 11N between 100W and 120W. The imagery also shows scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms along and just offshore the coasts of Costa Rica and northern Panama. Light and variable winds generally prevail north of the monsoon trough near 11N. Light to gentle E to SE are currently occurring across the Papagayo region. Gentle to moderate SW to W winds prevail across most of the waters south of the trough. Seas of 4 to 7 ft in SW swell are over the Central American offshore waters, except for higher seas of 6 to 8 ft in S to SW swell south of and near the Galapagos Islands. For the forecast, gentle to locally moderate breezes will persist across the waters off Central America, Colombia and Ecuador, with primarily moderate SW swell through Thu. New SW swell is expected to enter the waters north of the Equator and build across the area waters through Thu. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA.... Broad high pressure continues over the regional waters W of 105W. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds remain west of about 125W and north of 09N, and are gentle to moderate between 110W and 125W. NW to N swell continues to dominate the waters N of 22N and E of 134W, where seas are 8 to 10 ft as indicated by overnight altimeter satellite data passes. Seas are 5 to 7 ft W of 134W while seas in the trade wind zone from 09N to 22N are 6 to 8 ft. Moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas are noted elsewhere south of the ITCZ. For the forecast, the weakening high pressure ridge across the region W of 110W will generally persist through early Fri. A weak cold front may approach 30N140W late Fri night or early Sat. High pressure building behind it will overtake the weakening front through Sun night. A tightening gradient will act to expand the areal coverage of the fresh trade winds northward to near 26N by Sun evening. Seas with these trades are expected to be in the 6 to 8 ft range. $$ Aguirre ####018005414#### AXPZ20 KNHC 071005 RRA TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1005 UTC Wed May 07 2025 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0945 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from northwest Colombia to 12N92W to 09N105W to 09N110W to 08N120W to 06N130W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 05N140W. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is seen within 180 nm south of the trough between 106W-111W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 120 nm south of the trough between 100W-105W and within 120 nm either side of the trough between 111W-116W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm north of the trough between 119W-120W, and within 30 nm south of the trough between 116W-120W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Weakening high pressure remains well to the NW of the Baja California waters, and extends a broad ridge southeastward to south of the Revillagigedo Islands near 18N105W. A broad surface trough is across the waters of southern California, Baja Norte, and the northern Gulf of California. An overnight scatterometer satellite pass showed a swath of moderate to fresh NW winds along and just offshore the southwestern tip of the Baja Peninsula. Gentle to moderate NW to N winds continue from there southeastward to the offshore waters from Cabo Corrientes to central Michoacan. Seas across this area are 6 to 8 ft in NW swell. Elsewhere across the Baja offshore waters, light to gentle NW winds prevail as noted in the latest scatterometer satellite data passes. Seas are 6 to 9 ft in subsiding NW swell. Across the Gulf of California, gentle to moderate SE to S winds are over the northern Gulf, while light and variable wind are over the central part of the Gulf and gentle NW to N winds are over the southern section. Seas in the Gulf are 3 ft or less except for higher seas of 3 to 5 ft in SE swell are in the far southern part and in the entrance. Elsewhere across the remaining Mexican waters to Tehuantepec, winds are light to gentle along with seas of 5 to 7 ft in SW swell. For the forecast, a broad ridge extending southeastward to near 18N105W from well NW of the area will change little through early Fri before high pressure builds modestly across the Baja California waters over the upcoming weekend. NW swell moving through the offshore waters will subside through early this afternoon. Looking ahead, a late season northerly gale event is possible across Tehuantepec Sat night and Sun night. Strong gap N gap winds are expected to begin across Tehuantepec Sat morning. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... The weather remains unsettled across the waters east of about 120W. Latest satellite imagery shows increased clusters of scattered to numerous moderate to strong thunderstorms roughly from 06N to 11N between 100W and 120W. The imagery also shows scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms along and just offshore the coasts of Costa Rica and northern Panama. Light and variable winds generally prevail north of the monsoon trough near 11N. Light to gentle E to SE are currently occurring across the Papagayo region. Gentle to moderate SW to W winds prevail across most of the waters south of the trough. Seas of 4 to 7 ft in SW swell are over the Central American offshore waters, except for higher seas of 6 to 8 ft in S to SW swell south of and near the Galapagos Islands. For the forecast, gentle to locally moderate breezes will persist across the waters off Central America, Colombia and Ecuador, with primarily moderate SW swell through Thu. New SW swell is expected to enter the waters north of the Equator and build across the area waters through Thu. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA.... Broad high pressure continues over the regional waters W of 105W. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds remain west of about 125W and north of 09N, and are gentle to moderate between 110W and 125W. NW to N swell continues to dominate the waters N of 22N and E of 134W, where seas are 8 to 10 ft as indicated by overnight altimeter satellite data passes. Seas are 5 to 7 ft W of 134W while seas in the trade wind zone from 09N to 22N are 6 to 8 ft. Moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas are noted elsewhere south of the ITCZ. For the forecast, the weakening high pressure ridge across the region W of 110W will generally persist through early Fri. A weak cold front may approach 30N140W late Fri night or early Sat. High pressure building behind it will overtake the weakening front through Sun night. A tightening gradient will act to expand the areal coverage of the fresh trade winds northward to near 26N by Sun evening. Seas with these trades are expected to be in the 6 to 8 ft range. $$ Aguirre ####018005408#### AXPZ20 KNHC 071006 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1005 UTC Wed May 07 2025 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0945 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from northwest Colombia to 12N92W to 09N105W to 09N110W to 08N120W to 06N130W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 05N140W. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is seen within 180 nm south of the trough between 106W-111W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 120 nm south of the trough between 100W-105W and within 120 nm either side of the trough between 111W-116W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm north of the trough between 119W-120, and within 30 nm south of the trough between 116W-120W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Weakening high pressure remains well to the NW of the Baja California waters, and extends a broad ridge southeastward to south of the Revillagigedo Islands near 18N105W. A broad surface trough is across the waters of southern California, Baja Norte, and the northern Gulf of California. An overnight scatterometer satellite pass showed a swath of moderate to fresh NW winds along and just offshore the southwestern tip of the Baja Peninsula. Gentle to moderate NW to N winds continue from there southeastward to the offshore waters from Cabo Corrientes to central Michoacan. Seas across this area are 6 to 8 ft in NW swell. Elsewhere across the Baja offshore waters, light to gentle NW winds prevail as noted in the latest scatterometer satellite data passes. Seas are 6 to 9 ft in subsiding NW swell. Across the Gulf of California, gentle to moderate SE to S winds are over the northern Gulf, while light and variable wind are over the central part of the Gulf and gentle NW to N winds are over the southern section. Seas in the Gulf are 3 ft or less except for higher seas of 3 to 5 ft in SE swell are in the far southern part and in the entrance. Elsewhere across the remaining Mexican waters to Tehuantepec, winds are light to gentle along with seas of 5 to 7 ft in SW swell. For the forecast, a broad ridge extending southeastward to near 18N105W from well NW of the area will change little through early Fri before high pressure builds modestly across the Baja California waters over the upcoming weekend. NW swell moving through the offshore waters will subside through early this afternoon. Looking ahead, a late season northerly gale event is possible across Tehuantepec Sat night and Sun night. Strong gap N gap winds are expected to begin across Tehuantepec Sat morning. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... The weather remains unsettled across the waters east of about 120W. Latest satellite imagery shows increased clusters of scattered to numerous moderate to strong thunderstorms roughly from 06N to 11N between 100W and 120W. The imagery also shows scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms along and just offshore the coasts of Costa Rica and northern Panama. Light and variable winds generally prevail north of the monsoon trough near 11N. Light to gentle E to SE are currently occurring across the Papagayo region. Gentle to moderate SW to W winds prevail across most of the waters south of the trough. Seas of 4 to 7 ft in SW swell are over the Central American offshore waters, except for higher seas of 6 to 8 ft in S to SW swell south of and near the Galapagos Islands. For the forecast, gentle to locally moderate breezes will persist across the waters off Central America, Colombia and Ecuador, with primarily moderate SW swell through Thu. New SW swell is expected to enter the waters north of the Equator and build across the area waters through Thu. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA.... Broad high pressure continues over the regional waters W of 105W. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds remain west of about 125W and north of 09N, and are gentle to moderate between 110W and 125W. NW to N swell continues to dominate the waters N of 22N and E of 134W, where seas are 8 to 10 ft as indicated by overnight altimeter satellite data passes. Seas are 5 to 7 ft W of 134W while seas in the trade wind zone from 09N to 22N are 6 to 8 ft. Moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas are noted elsewhere south of the ITCZ. For the forecast, the weakening high pressure ridge across the region W of 110W will generally persist through early Fri. A weak cold front may approach 30N140W late Fri night or early Sat. High pressure building behind it will overtake the weakening front through Sun night. A tightening gradient will act to expand the areal coverage of the fresh trade winds northward to near 26N by Sun evening. Seas with these trades are expected to be in the 6 to 8 ft range. $$ Aguirre ####018005413#### AXPZ20 KNHC 071006 RRA TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1005 UTC Wed May 07 2025 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0945 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from northwest Colombia to 12N92W to 09N105W to 09N110W to 08N120W to 06N130W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 05N140W. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is seen within 180 nm south of the trough between 106W-111W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 120 nm south of the trough between 100W-105W and within 120 nm either side of the trough between 111W-116W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm north of the trough between 119W-120W, and within 30 nm south of the trough between 116W-120W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Weakening high pressure remains well to the NW of the Baja California waters, and extends a broad ridge southeastward to south of the Revillagigedo Islands near 18N105W. A broad surface trough is across the waters of southern California, Baja Norte, and the northern Gulf of California. An overnight scatterometer satellite pass showed a swath of moderate to fresh NW winds along and just offshore the southwestern tip of the Baja Peninsula. Gentle to moderate NW to N winds continue from there southeastward to the offshore waters from Cabo Corrientes to central Michoacan. Seas across this area are 6 to 8 ft in NW swell. Elsewhere across the Baja offshore waters, light to gentle NW winds prevail as noted in the latest scatterometer satellite data passes. Seas are 6 to 9 ft in subsiding NW swell. Across the Gulf of California, gentle to moderate SE to S winds are over the northern Gulf, while light and variable wind are over the central part of the Gulf and gentle NW to N winds are over the southern section. Seas in the Gulf are 3 ft or less except for higher seas of 3 to 5 ft in SE swell are in the far southern part and in the entrance. Elsewhere across the remaining Mexican waters to Tehuantepec, winds are light to gentle along with seas of 5 to 7 ft in SW swell. For the forecast, a broad ridge extending southeastward to near 18N105W from well NW of the area will change little through early Fri before high pressure builds modestly across the Baja California waters over the upcoming weekend. NW swell moving through the offshore waters will subside through early this afternoon. Looking ahead, a late season northerly gale event is possible across Tehuantepec Sat night and Sun night. Strong gap N gap winds are expected to begin across Tehuantepec Sat morning. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... The weather remains unsettled across the waters east of about 120W. Latest satellite imagery shows increased clusters of scattered to numerous moderate to strong thunderstorms roughly from 06N to 11N between 100W and 120W. The imagery also shows scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms along and just offshore the coasts of Costa Rica and northern Panama. Light and variable winds generally prevail north of the monsoon trough near 11N. Light to gentle E to SE are currently occurring across the Papagayo region. Gentle to moderate SW to W winds prevail across most of the waters south of the trough. Seas of 4 to 7 ft in SW swell are over the Central American offshore waters, except for higher seas of 6 to 8 ft in S to SW swell south of and near the Galapagos Islands. For the forecast, gentle to locally moderate breezes will persist across the waters off Central America, Colombia and Ecuador, with primarily moderate SW swell through Thu. New SW swell is expected to enter the waters north of the Equator and build across the area waters through Thu. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA.... Broad high pressure continues over the regional waters W of 105W. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds remain west of about 125W and north of 09N, and are gentle to moderate between 110W and 125W. NW to N swell continues to dominate the waters N of 22N and E of 134W, where seas are 8 to 10 ft as indicated by overnight altimeter satellite data passes. Seas are 5 to 7 ft W of 134W while seas in the trade wind zone from 09N to 22N are 6 to 8 ft. Moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas are noted elsewhere south of the ITCZ. For the forecast, the weakening high pressure ridge across the region W of 110W will generally persist through early Fri. A weak cold front may approach 30N140W late Fri night or early Sat. High pressure building behind it will overtake the weakening front through Sun night. A tightening gradient will act to expand the areal coverage of the fresh trade winds northward to near 26N by Sun evening. Seas with these trades are expected to be in the 6 to 8 ft range. $$ Aguirre