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ABPW10 PGTW 080200

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH

PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/080200Z-080600ZMAY2025//

RMKS/

1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):

   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.

   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.

   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):

   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.

   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:

      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.9S

141.6E, APPROXIMATELY 228 NM NORTH OF WEIPA, QUEENSLAND, AUSTRALIA.

ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD LLCC

OBSCURED BY FLARING CONVECTION STARTING TO ORGANIZE. A 072336Z MHS

89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS FRAGMENTED BANDING, PRIMARILY OVER

WATER, WRAPPING AROUND THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. THE POSITION IS BASED

ON THE CENTER OF THE ELONGATED CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS

INDICATES 93P IS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT DUE TO ITS

POSITION ALONG THE COAST. HOWEVER, WARM (28-30C) SEA SURFACE

TEMPERATURES, LOW (10-15 KNOT) VWS AND GOOD POLEWARD FLOW COULD FAVOR

FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IF THE SYSTEM TRACKS OVER WATER. GLOBAL MODELS ARE

IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93P WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK GENERALLY WESTWARD,

THEN REMAIN NEAR THE ARAFURA SEA AND SLOWLY DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT 24-

48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23

KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE

POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN

THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.

   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1).//

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