AXUS43 KAPX 161824
MISAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
224 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2015
<HEADLINES>
.DISCUSSION...
PLEASE NOTE THE FIRE WEATHER SEASON WILL OFFICIALLY END ON
FRIDAY NOVEMBER 7TH. THE FINAL FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
OF THE SEASON WILL BE ISSUED FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SPOT FORECASTS
REMAIN AVAILABLE AT ANY TIME THROUGHOUT THE WINTER.
MI001-MI100-170800-
MICHIGAN DNR CADILLAC FOREST-
223 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2015
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN UNTIL 2000. CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 2000
UNTIL 2300...THEN RAIN AND SNOW UNTIL 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....22-27...EXCEPT 29-34 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 12 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO
NORTH AROUND 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH
AROUND 27 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
FLURRIES AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
24 HR TREND......26 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 20 DEGREES COOLER
NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT...EXCEPT 49-54 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 19 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1720).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
FLURRIES UNTIL 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....16-21...EXCEPT 27-32 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT...EXCEPT 55-60 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 20 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (570).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT...EXCEPT 43-48 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (610).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MI001-MI100-170800-
GLADWIN/ROSCOMMON AREA-
223 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2015
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (120).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 24 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.23 IN.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
FLURRIES AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39...EXCEPT 27-32 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......28 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 20 DEGREES COOLER
NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT...EXCEPT 51-56 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1990).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
FLURRIES UNTIL 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....15-20...EXCEPT 27-32 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT...EXCEPT 55-60 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1050).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41...EXCEPT 29-34 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE COOLER NEAR
THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT...EXCEPT 42-47 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (930).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MI001-MI100-170800-
HURON MANISTEE FOREST-
223 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2015
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND
15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (160).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 27 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.23 IN.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
FLURRIES AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39...EXCEPT 27-32 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......26 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 20 DEGREES COOLER
NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT...EXCEPT 51-56 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2000).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
FLURRIES UNTIL 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....16-21...EXCEPT 27-32 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT...EXCEPT 55-60 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1050).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41...EXCEPT 29-34 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT...EXCEPT 43-48 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (940).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS AROUND 30.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$