FNUS73 KMPX 030655
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Rice Lake Flats Pile Burn...NPS
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1255 AM CST Tue Dec 3 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0100 CST on December 03. 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with 
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Calm winds will gradually increase throughout the
morning, becoming more S/SW by sunrise. RH values will stay at or
above 80 percent through late morning. No precipitation is
expected outside of a few flurries potentially.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered 
                    flurries overnight. 
Temperature.........17 at ignition...Min 12. 
RH..................84 percent at ignition...Max 88 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 1 mph at ignition...otherwise 
                    Light winds. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /6000 knot-ft/ at ignition. Min...poor 
                    /6000 knot-ft/. 
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 1000 ft 
                    AGL. 
Transport winds.....West 7 to 9 mph. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4. 

TIME (CST)      1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  
Weather cov.....SCT                                             
Weather type....SW                                              
Tstm cov........                                                
Temp............17  17  17  16  16  16  15  15  16  19  21  23  
RH..............84  84  80  84  84  84  84  88  84  77  71  65  
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   2   2   3   3   5   7   8   9   10  
20 FT wind gust.6   7   7   7   8   8   10  13  14  16  18  20  
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.0 
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   8   9   9   10  12  14  16  17  18  
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). 
Temperature.........Max 26. 
RH..................Min 60 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 12 mph early in 
                    the morning. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8400 knot-ft) early in the morning 
                    increasing to good (40100 knot-ft) in the 
                    afternoon. 
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 18 mph increasing to 16 to 21 
                    mph late in the afternoon. 
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large 
                    plume dominated fire growth. 

$$
Forecaster...Dettmann
Requested by...Eric Anderson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427642.0/MPX
.DELDT 12/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL eric_anderson@nps.gov