FQZA81 FAPR 011600 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII EAST OF 20E. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 01ST OF MAY 2025 AT 16:00 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 012200 TO 022200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. CAPE EAST: SW 35 to 40 in the west and north-west. 2. DURBAN EAST: SW 35 in the extreme south-west towards the end of the period. 3. MARION FORTIES EAST: Cyclonic 35 to 40 in the south-west from mid- period spreading to the south-eastern parts towards the end of the period. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1028 hPa 38s03e. Low 992 hPa 46s42e. Low 998 hPa 42s31e. 1. Cold Front: 34s22e 36s30e 40s33e into 42s31e. AREA FORECAST: ============== CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : N to NW 20 to 30 in the east, otherwise SW 20 to 30 reaching 35 to 40 in the west and north-west. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the east with NW swell, otherwise 5.0 to 6.0m with SW swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : N to NE 15 to 25 but SW 20 to 30 in the south-west spreading to the north-west by mid-period while reaching 35 in the extreme south-west towards the end of the period. VIS : Good in the extreme north and south-east, otherwise moderate in showers and thundershowers but poor in the west. SEA STATE: 3.0m, except in the extreme north, with E to SE swell but 3.5 to 4.5m in the south-west with SW swell spreading to the north-west towards the end of the period while reaching 5.0m in the extreme south-west. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : N to NE 10 to 20 in the extreme south-west, otherwise SE 05 to 10. It will become variable 05 across the central and eastern parts from mid-period. VIS : Good. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : E to NE 10 to 20 in the south, otherwise E to SE 10 to 20. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in places. SEA STATE: 3.0m in places, with E to SE swell, subsiding from mid-period. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : NW 20 to 30 in the east for the first half of the period, otherwise W to SW 15 to 25 but cyclonic 30 to 40 in the south- west from mid-period spreading to the south-eastern parts towards the end of the period. It will become anticyclonic 05 to 10 over the central and northern parts from mid-period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and rain but poor in snow showers in the south-west. It will become good over the central and northern parts from mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.5 to 4.5m reaching 5.0 to 6.0m over the central and eastern parts, with W to NW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 25/05/01 AT 1600UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING GALE EXPECTED OVER CRO. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 25/05/01 AT 1200UTC LOW 989 NEAR 47S/42E, MOVING RATHER QUICKLY SOUTH-EASTWARD. WAVING FRONT 30S/36E, 34S/40E, 40S/42E, 44S/40E, 50S/44E, 52S/50E. HIGH PRESSURE OVER ALL PART, MOVING EASTWARD. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 25/05/01 AT 1800UTC TO 25/05/02 AT 1800UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) WIND: NORTHEASTERLY 4/6 LOCALLY N 7 OVER FAR SOUTH-WESTERN. SEA: MODERATE LOCALLY ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH OVER FAR SOUTH-WESTERN. VIS: GOOD. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN. WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 3/5. SEA: MODERATE LOCALLY ROUGH OVER SOUTH-EASTERN BY S SWELL 3 TO 4 M. VIS: GOOD. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) FRONTAL RAIN OVER WESTERN AT FIRST. WIND: N TO NW 7/8 DECREASING WESTERLY 4/5 OVER NORTH-WESTERN AT END. SEA: ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH LOCALLY HIGH OVER SOUTHERN. SW SWELL 2 TO 4 M THEN NW SWELL 4 TO 5 M AT END. CROSS SEA. VIS: POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) SCATTERED SHOWERS. WIND: W TO NW 4/6 OVER NORTHERN, 6/7 OVER SOUTHERN. SEA: ROUGH OVER NORTHERN, VERY ROUGH OVER SOUTHERN. SW SWELL 3 TO 5 M. CROSS SEA OVER SOUTHERN. VIS: GOOD.