FXCN01 CWHF 020702

KEY FORECAST POINTS:
-BECOMING CLOUDY TODAY WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON.
-DRIZZLE MIST AND FOG EXPECTED TO GIVE LOW CONDITIONS TONIGHT.
-SHOWERS FOG AND MIST CURRENTLY EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY.

SHORT-RANGE DISCUSSION FOR OPS AREA ALPHA AND THE ECHOES, CFB HALIFAX
PROPERTIES AND 12 WING SHEARWATER
PERIOD OF COVERAGE: 0600Z 02 MAY TO 0300Z 04 MAY.

MODEL DISCUSSION: CONSULTED CHIEFLY HRDPS/RDPS.
CONFIDENCE: HIGH.
COMMENTS/IMPACTS: A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST
 TODAY AS A WARM FRONTAL TROUGH SPREADS CLOUD OVER THE OPS AREA.
 BY NOON HOUR, THE SKY SHOULD BECOME PRETTY MUCH OVERCAST AND
 EMBEDDED ACC WILL SPREAD A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS OVER THE REGION. BY
 THIS EVENING, WITH A SOUTHERLY FLOW STRENGTHENING OVER THE
 APPROACHES, THE LOW LEVELS WILL BECOME SATURATED AND STRATUS CLOUD
 SHOULD INFILTRATE THE OPS AREA WITH DRIZZLE AND MIST THEN FOG
 SHORTLY THEREAFTER. CLOUDY CONDITIONS WITH DRIZZLE SHOULD CONTINUE
 ON SATURDAY MORNING BUT THEN CLEAR UP IN THE AFTERNOON WHILE FOG
 AND MIST RETREATS TO THE COAST IN THE MORNING BUT RETURNS TO THE
 INNER HARBOUR IN THE EVENING.


LONG-RANGE DISCUSSION FOR OPS AREA ALPHA AND THE ECHOES, CFB HALIFAX
PROPERTIES AND 12 WING SHEARWATER
PERIOD OF COVERAGE: 0300Z 04 MAY TO 0300Z 07 MAY.

MODEL DISCUSSION: CONSULTED CHIEFLY RDPS/GDPS/GFS.
CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM.
COMMENTS/IMPACTS: A CHAIN OF MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO ROLL THROUGH
 THE REGION SUNDAY THROUGH TO MONDAY MORNING, GIVING CLOUDY
 CONDITIONS WITH A FEW SHOWERS, AS WELL AS FOG AND MIST THAT WILL
 RETREAT TO THE COAST DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH
 PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC IS SCHEDULED TO EXPAND SOUTHWARD AND GIVE
 CLEARING CONDITIONS ON MONDAY, BUT THEN MORE SHOWER ACTIVITY FROM
 BROAD TROUGHING WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST ON TUESDAY, GIVING
 CLOUDY CONDITIONS TO HALIFAX AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATER IN THE
 DAY. WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO EXCEED 15 KNOTS DURING THE
 LONG-RANGE PERIOD EXCEPT FOR SOME STRONG SOUTHWESTERLIES FROM
 SATURDAY NIGHT WEAKENING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

END/METOC-HFX