WTPQ31 RJTD 141800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.25 FOR TD LOCATED AT 21N 113E
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
  TORAJI (2423) HAS WEAKENED TO TD INTENSITY. THE TD IS LOCATED AT
  21N, 113E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON
  ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004HPA
  AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE LESS THAN 30KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
  IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
  OF LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP, STRONG VWS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
  SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
  CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
  THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
  ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM IS ONLY A VORTEX CONSISTING OF
  LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE
  SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
  SEE THE MARINE WARNING (WWJP27 RJTD).
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
  SEE THE MARINE WARNING (WWJP27 RJTD).
5.REMARKS
  THIS WILL BE THE FINAL PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR THE SYSTEM.
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